Nor'easter poised to dump heavy snows; Australian tropical cyclone season heats up

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 26. јануар 2011, 14:31 GMT

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A developing low pressure system along the North Carolina coast will intensify today and move northeast towards Cape Cod, Massachusetts, bringing heavy rain and snow to the mid-Atlantic and New England. A swath of 6 - 10" of snow is expected over inland regions of New England, from Philadelphia to Boston. A storm surge of up to 2.5' is expected along the Massachusetts coast, which will cause mostly minor coastal flooding, but considerable erosion damage.

The 1.9" of snow that fell in Hartford, Connecticut yesterday brought that city's January snowfall total to 44.9", a new record for the month. With an additional 6 - 10 inches expected today, Hartford will surpass its record for snowiest month of all-time, the 45.3" that fell in December 1945.

The storm brought heavy rains of 1 - 3 inches to much of the Southeast yesterday, easing that region's La Niña-related drought. The low swept a cold front across Florida last night, bringing severe thunderstorms with damaging winds gusts of up to 75 mph to twenty locations in the state. One tornado was reported, but no significant damage was reported.


Figure 1. The cold front from today's Nor'easter swept across Florida last night, bringing a line of severe thunderstorms that spawned one tornado and numerous reports of damaging winds.

Tropical Cyclone activity heats up near Australia
The year's first Category 4 tropical cyclone is Tropical Cyclone Wilma, which is churning the waters near Tonga in the Southern Hemisphere with sustained winds of 135 mph (minimum Category 4 strength.) Wilma passed over American Samoa as a strong tropical storm, and hit Tonga as a Category 3 storm. Substantial damage has been reported on Tonga, but no deaths or injuries. Wilma is recurving out to sea, and will not affect Australia.

Australia is keeping an eye on Tropical Cylone Bianca, which is expected to skirt the northwest coast of the country over the next few days. Of much greater concern for Australia are two potential tropical cyclones that could hit the flood-ravaged state of Queensland next week. Both the European Center and GFS models predict that the remains of Tropical Cyclone Anthony will regenerate into a tropical storm late this week and hit Queensland early next week. A second and potentially more powerful storm is forecast to form next week in the islands to the east of Australia, and threaten Queensland at the end of the week. This is potentially terrible news for Australia, which is attempting to recover from record floods. As reported in the latest Bureau of Meteorology climate statement and flood summary, the past four months (September - December) have been the rainiest such period in Queensland's history, and the resulting flooding disaster has been Australia's most expensive natural disaster in history.


Figure 2. Tropical Cyclone Wilma, the globe's first major tropical cyclone of 2011, as seen at 01:45 GMT on January 26. 2011 by NASA's Aqua satellite. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters

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166. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL LOW, FORMER ANTHONY (11U)
11:00 AM EST January 27 2011
=========================================

At 10:00 AM EST, Tropical Low, Former Anthony (999 hPa) located 17.8S 155.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The low is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Anthony may redevelop into a tropical cyclone during the next 12 to 24 hours.
Member Since: 24.05.06 Posts: 51 Comments: 46274
165. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth
Tropical Cyclone Advice #24
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE BIANCA (12U)
9:00 AM WST January 27 2011
=======================================

At 8:00 am WST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Bianca, Category Three (965 hPa) located at 19.8S 115.0E, or 255 km north northeast of Exmouth and 225 km west northwest of Karratha has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 8 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
===================
25 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
================
40 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=================
70 NM from the center in northern quadrant
90 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24HRS

Severe Tropical Cyclone Bianca continues to develop as it moves to the west southwest and parallel to the Pilbara coast. The cyclone is expected to continue intensifying during Thursday, but staying within the Category Three range.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are possible for a period between Roebourne and Onslow, extending to Exmouth this afternoon.

If the cyclone moves closer to the coast, DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 160 kilometres per hour are possible near Exmouth on the NW Cape during Thursday afternoon and evening.

Heavy rain is expected in coastal parts between Whim Creek and Exmouth today. Localised stream rises are likely but widespread flooding is not expected. Strong, squally winds and heavy rain are still possible between Wallal and Whim Creek during today.

If the cyclone moves closer to the coast, residents of Exmouth are warned of the potential for a DANGEROUS STORM TIDE. Tides may rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING. Tides will be higher than expected near Onslow, but flooding of low-lying coastal areas is not expected.

Tropical Cyclone Warnings/Watch
================================
A Cyclone WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities from Roebourne to Coral Bay.

The Cyclone WARNING from Whim Creek to Roebourne has been cancelled.

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 20.8S 113.0E - 80 knots (CAT 3)
24 HRS: 22.6S 110.8E - 85 knots (CAT 3)
48 HRS: 28.1S 108.4E - 55 knots (CAT 2)
72 HRS: 32.3S 112.4E - 30 knots (Tropical Low)

Additional Information
========================

Data T has become difficult to apply with no clear curved band. Assigning a trend of D+ gives a MET of 5.0, however a adjustment was made to the MET, and the Pattern T number is 4.5. FT=4.5 based on the Pattern T number.

CIMMS shear figures have been steady around 12 knots over the last 6 hours. Ocean heat content is high along the forecast track over the next 36 hours. Hence further intensification is forecast. Weakening is then likely from late Friday as the system moves over cooler SSTs and experiences increasing shear.

The system is expected to be steered steadily towards the west southwest by a strong mid-level ridge until late Friday when an amplifying trough will result in the system being steered towards the south. On Sunday the remnants of the system will experience very high shear as a strong surface ridge pushes in beneath the mid level trough.

The next tropical cyclone advice on Severe Tropical Cyclone Bianca will be at 3:00 AM UTC..
Member Since: 24.05.06 Posts: 51 Comments: 46274
164. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 09F
9:00 AM FST January 27 2011
===================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 09F (1005 hPa) located at 14.5S 176.8W is reported as slowly moving. Position POOR based on infrared/visible imagery with animation and peripheral surface observations. Sea surface temperature is around 30C.

Organization has not increased in the last 12 hours. Convection has been persistent in the psat 24 hours with low level circulation center difficult to locate. System lies along a surface trough and under an upper level diffluent region, in a low to moderate sheared environment. Cyclonic circulation extends to 500 HPA.

Global models have picked up the system and slowly moves it southwestward with some intensification.

The potential for this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 24-48 hours is LOW TO MODERATE.
Member Since: 24.05.06 Posts: 51 Comments: 46274
"We've lost it ... no doubt about it."
Member Since: 03.07.05 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
Quoting Cochise111:
http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/images/stories/papers/originals/easterbrook.pdf

It appears that current manipulated increases in global temperature are insignificant compared to complete historical temperatures in the long term -- not 150 years, which are a blink of an eye in the real scale of thing.


To add to other comments, scienceandpublicpolicy.org has nothing to do with either science, nor public policy. It's not even a skeptic site. It's a denier shill site that promotes non-reviewed nonsense written by people who aren't climate scientists as if it were peer-reviewed research accepted by the wider community.

Sites like that one only serve to pervert science and are a disgrace. It belongs right up there with the Weekly World News and other trash rags you see in the supermarket checkout line that claim they've found Elvis dating an alien on Alpha Centauri.

If you're looking for scientific papers to post on the subject, try a REAL science journal like Nature or one of the other 6000 internationally recognized science periodicals.
Member Since: 31.10.09 Posts: 0 Comments: 1570
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Coral-lifes-a-bleach-and-then-you-die.html
Quoting MichaelSTL:


Wrong:



Just like the PDO, the THC only DISTRIBUTES heat around the globe - it cannot do magic! See also:

Gray and Muddy Thinking about Global Warming

"The THC is undoubtedly important to climate, because it transports heat from one place to another. However it cannot do magical things. It cannot create energy out of thin air (or thick water), nor can it make energy mysteriously disappear..."


And this, which says that even the extreme cooling around Europe is overestimated:

Climate mythology: The Gulf Stream, European climate and Abrupt Change
But the collapse would create an imbalance. The heat staying in the tropics would heat things there up. Meanwhile the areas that were heated by the THC get cold. This global temperature imbalance sets the stage for a superstorm. The cold air collides with the hot, creating storms like this http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Landphoon The storm gets so strong it penetrates the stratosphere. The snow is superchilled in the stratosphere and brought down by downdrafts. The snow and air it chills flash freeze whatever they touch. By the time its over we will have entered a new ice age/younger dryas.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

I like these posts. Interesting how cold the Southern Ocean is. It is summer down there!
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Quoting Skyepony:
Looks like one of the 2008 storms was upgraded to a Hurriphoonado. I'm surprised we missed this. Certainly another example of AGW;)

Good info. Thanks for the post!
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Quoting MichaelSTL:


Indeed:

Natural oscillations like PDO simply move heat around from oceans to air and vice-versa. They don't have the ability to either create or retain heat, therefore they're not capable of causing a long-term warming trend, just short-term temperature variations. Basically they're an example of internal variability, not an external radiative forcing. If PDO were responsible for warming the surface, the oceans would be cooling, which is not the case.

These results are expected. The long term warming trend is a result of an energy imbalance caused primarily by an increase of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. In contrast, the PDO is an internal process and does not increase or decrease the total energy in the climate system.





(see this link "The SOI values confirm that we are in the middle of either the strongest La Niña event on record, or the second strongest [behind 1917, and stronger than 1973 and 1975].")

http://www.skepticalscience.com/images/PDO_vs_Temp.gif Hmm. Looks pretty flat to me. I cant see any correlation at all.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
The globe will not cool unless the North Atlantic Current fails. This would trigger catastrophe. I have collected many links about the possibility.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/HurricaneKatrina/comment.html?entrynum=14
http://www.globalsuperstorm.bravehost.com/whatis.html
http://www.terracycles.com/joomla/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1:superstorms&catid= 1:earth&Itemid=2
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/HurricaneKatrina/comment.html?entrynum=17
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting MichaelSTL:
Who Are these Scientists Predicting Cooling?

Some of the names listed in the blog above have been predicting imminent cooling for years now, like Don Easterbrook, Syun Akasofu, Habibullo Abdussamatov, Joe D'Aleo, and Nicola Scafetta. Many of these and other names on the list are not climate scientists, which is no doubt why the blogs claim that an increasing number of scientists as opposed to climate scientists are predicting imminent cooling.

One also has to wonder how long the planet must continue to warm while these individuals predict imminent cooling before they lose credibility. Don Easterbrook, for example, has predicted that we should see a global cooling of 2 to 5°F (1.1 to 2.8°C) from 2000 to 2030 based on a shift in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. We're now one-third of the way into this supposed cooling period and the planet has warmed approximately 0.1°C. The accuracy of this prediction is not looking good.

Several other listed scientists have predicted that we should expect global cooling due to solar effects, like Scafetta, Abdussamatov, Landscheidt, Archibald, and D'Aleo. However, consider the fact that the longest solar cycle minimum in a nearly century just ended, and as mentioned above, the past two years have been among the hottest in the instrumental temperature record. Solar activity has been flat for the past 50 years, and yet the planet warmed approximately 0.6°C during that period. And now we're expected to believe that solar activity is not only going to significantly dampen the anthropogenic warming signal, but cause substantial cooling? These claims strain credulity.

http://www.skepticalscience.com/Pacific-Decadal-Oscillation.htm
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150. MiamiHurricanes09
27. јануар 2011, 00:29 GMT
Sun rising over Tropical Cyclone Bianca:

Member Since: 02.09.09 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
149. aquak9
27. јануар 2011, 00:25 GMT
oh for ya'll who might be trying to post youtubes? and suddenly find that it's not working?

ok when you click on the "embed" tab, do not use the one that appears in the box, the one that says "iframe". Scroll down past that, there's some boxes underneath that you can click.

One of these boxes says "use old embed code?" and you click on that. Then the embed code will change to the old format, and you can use it.
Member Since: 13.08.05 Posts: 172 Comments: 26298
148. Skyepony (Mod)
27. јануар 2011, 00:22 GMT
What's "Normal" Weather Is About to Officially Change
Member Since: 10.08.05 Posts: 196 Comments: 38769
147. EYEStoSEA
27. јануар 2011, 00:21 GMT
Quoting aquak9:
hey I think it's awesome that ya'll know how to enjoy it. Keep the kids home, bake brownies, build a snoeman, laugh silly, sleep like puppies.

it sounds really great, a weather that I will probably never see. What it's snowed here in Jacksonville, I don't think that counts, as one inch will shut this city DOWN.


One inch only enough to make ya mad....
Member Since: 16.09.10 Posts: 0 Comments: 1496
145. aquak9
27. јануар 2011, 00:18 GMT
hey I think it's awesome that ya'll know how to enjoy it. Keep the kids home, bake brownies, build a snoeman, laugh silly, sleep like puppies.

it sounds really great, a weather that I will probably never see. What it's snowed here in Jacksonville, I don't think that counts, as one inch will shut this city DOWN.
Member Since: 13.08.05 Posts: 172 Comments: 26298
144. EYEStoSEA
27. јануар 2011, 00:14 GMT
Quoting washingtonian115:
The thing with this snow is that it's wet,and heavy.But luckly it's compact which means the kids can easly build a snowman.For our schools they have a two hour delay.But am I sending the kids to school in that type of snow where they can possibly slip,and hurt themselves??.Of course not.Kids you have a day off tomarrow...


Right...the getting out of school for kids is such a treat....I'm not so old that I cant remember those days :)
Member Since: 16.09.10 Posts: 0 Comments: 1496
143. washingtonian115
27. јануар 2011, 00:11 GMT
Quoting EYEStoSEA:
Yes, the best part is watching it fall...
The thing with this snow is that it's wet,and heavy.But luckly it's compact which means the kids can easly build a snowman.For our schools they have a two hour delay.But am I sending the kids to school in that type of snow where they can possibly slip,and hurt themselves??.Of course not.Kids you have a day off tomarrow...
Member Since: 14.08.10 Posts: 10 Comments: 17492
142. EYEStoSEA
27. јануар 2011, 00:08 GMT
Yes, the best part is watching it fall...
Member Since: 16.09.10 Posts: 0 Comments: 1496
141. washingtonian115
27. јануар 2011, 00:07 GMT
Quoting aquak9:
I've never experienced snoe. But, I'm wearing flip-flips right now.

(floridian giggles and runs away)
Damn you!!.But this washingtonian is enjoying it!!.
Quoting EYEStoSEA:


Yea !!! Glad ya got that snow :) Enjoy
Yep I'm enjoying it.I got off of work early,and then pick the kids up from school early.Right now I'm sipping hot cup of lemon tea with the blind folds open to see the snow falling down.:)
Member Since: 14.08.10 Posts: 10 Comments: 17492
140. EYEStoSEA
27. јануар 2011, 00:05 GMT
Quoting aquak9:
I've never experienced snoe. But, I'm wearing flip-flips right now.

(floridian giggles and runs away)


Is that true Aqua...you've never been in a snow? I'm not real experienced with it, being from Ms, but it's has the most soothing and calming affect, for me anyway...lol..
Member Since: 16.09.10 Posts: 0 Comments: 1496
139. aquak9
26. јануар 2011, 23:55 GMT
I've never experienced snoe. But, I'm wearing flip-flips right now.

(floridian giggles and runs away)
Member Since: 13.08.05 Posts: 172 Comments: 26298
138. Patrap
26. јануар 2011, 23:46 GMT
Sneaux iz of the Devil...
Member Since: 03.07.05 Posts: 426 Comments: 129093
137. EYEStoSEA
26. јануар 2011, 23:45 GMT
Quoting washingtonian115:
Wissconin Ave is terrible right now.Some people have even dicided to abandon their cars.


Yea !!! Glad ya got that snow :) Enjoy
Member Since: 16.09.10 Posts: 0 Comments: 1496
136. washingtonian115
26. јануар 2011, 23:45 GMT
Quoting Orcasystems:


I have enough problems with town names and areas of states trying to figure out where people are... but just the street name.. forget it...I am really lost now.
Wissconsin Ave is located in north west Washington D.C.
Quoting atmoaggie:
Oh, yeah. That does look like fun!

There are also reports that some people have only traveled 2 blocks in an hour.Ouch!.And the gas sations are full,becuase people are running out of gas.
Member Since: 14.08.10 Posts: 10 Comments: 17492
135. Orcasystems
26. јануар 2011, 23:37 GMT
Quoting washingtonian115:
Wissconin Ave is terrible right now.Some people have even dicided to abandon their cars.


I have enough problems with town names and areas of states trying to figure out where people are... but just the street name.. forget it...I am really lost now.
Member Since: 01.10.07 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
134. atmoaggie
26. јануар 2011, 23:31 GMT
Quoting washingtonian115:
OMG I just finished witnessing thundersnow.It was awesome. I thought this storm was going to be bust to,but my hopes are lifting now!!!:)
Oh, yeah. That does look like fun!

Member Since: 16.08.07 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
133. washingtonian115
26. јануар 2011, 23:17 GMT
Wissconin Ave is terrible right now.Some people have even dicided to abandon their cars.
Member Since: 14.08.10 Posts: 10 Comments: 17492
132. Chicklit
26. јануар 2011, 23:15 GMT
off to yoga. pleasant evening everyone. :)
Member Since: 11.07.06 Posts: 14 Comments: 11392
131. Jedkins01
26. јануар 2011, 23:14 GMT
Quoting Chicklit:

Hi Jed, I'm in New Smyrna Beach.
It was in the high seventies before the front came through and was in the mid sixties today, so that's cooler. Just not a really low cool. It's still about 62 degrees here at 6 p.m. so seems pretty mild for a winter cold front coming through.


Actually its probably cause you've adjusted to the extremely cold weather we have had many times. The forecast low is 40 tonight for my area and a high of 59 tomorrow, which is a more normal January cold blast compared to what we have had before.
Member Since: 21.08.08 Posts: 0 Comments: 7836
130. Chicklit
26. јануар 2011, 23:13 GMT
Quoting Jedkins01:
heavy thunderstorms and snow.... That system in the northeast is one heck of an upper disturbance.

There one cell that has reflectivity of 60 DBZ with multiple lighting hits... Heavy snow convection, how weird.

Looks pretty well east of the coast on radar, doesn't it?
Member Since: 11.07.06 Posts: 14 Comments: 11392
129. Jedkins01
26. јануар 2011, 23:12 GMT
heavy thunderstorms and snow.... That system in the northeast is one heck of an upper disturbance.

There one cell that has reflectivity of 60 DBZ with multiple lighting hits... Heavy snow convection, how weird.
Member Since: 21.08.08 Posts: 0 Comments: 7836
128. Chicklit
26. јануар 2011, 23:11 GMT
Quoting Jedkins01:


I don't know where you live, but its definitely a cold front, here in Tampa Bay highs were between 60 and 63 today, and now its 55 with a gusty north wind, its definitely a cold front lol

Hi Jed, I'm in New Smyrna Beach.
It was in the high seventies before the front came through and was in the mid sixties today, so that's cooler. Just not a really low cool. It's still about 62 degrees here at 6 p.m. so seems pretty mild for a winter cold front.
Member Since: 11.07.06 Posts: 14 Comments: 11392
127. Chicklit
26. јануар 2011, 23:08 GMT
Is La Nina finally letting up?!
Member Since: 11.07.06 Posts: 14 Comments: 11392
126. Jedkins01
26. јануар 2011, 23:08 GMT
Quoting Chicklit:
I thought this was a cold front coming through Florida but I was wrong. It was warm last night (kept the window open) and warm again today.


I don't know where you live, but its definitely a cold front, here in Tampa Bay highs were between 60 and 63 today, and now its 55 with a gusty north wind, its definitely a cold front lol
Member Since: 21.08.08 Posts: 0 Comments: 7836
125. Skyepony (Mod)
26. јануар 2011, 23:08 GMT
Quoting Chicklit:
I thought this was a cold front coming through Florida but I was wrong. It was warm last night (kept the window open) and warm again today.


It's over.. should get to be about 40º It's dropped 10º since the sun started going down.
Member Since: 10.08.05 Posts: 196 Comments: 38769
124. xcool
26. јануар 2011, 23:06 GMT
Member Since: 26.09.09 Posts: 2 Comments: 15684
123. Jedkins01
26. јануар 2011, 23:06 GMT
Member Since: 21.08.08 Posts: 0 Comments: 7836
122. Chicklit
26. јануар 2011, 23:04 GMT
I thought that was a cold front coming through Florida yesterday but I was wrong. It was warm last night (kept the window open) and warm again today.
Member Since: 11.07.06 Posts: 14 Comments: 11392
121. Skyepony (Mod)
26. јануар 2011, 23:03 GMT
Looks like one of the 2008 storms was upgraded to a Hurriphoonado. I'm surprised we missed this. Certainly another example of AGW;)
Member Since: 10.08.05 Posts: 196 Comments: 38769
120. washingtonian115
26. јануар 2011, 22:56 GMT
OMG I just finished witnessing thundersnow.It was awesome.
Quoting MichaelSTL:


Of course, the snow has to actually fall, I have seen too many snow forecasts bust, including one storm the other day that was forecast to give 3-5 inches but had only 1 inch. Not that I'm complaining:



(I expected this winter to be like 2007-2008 here because of the La Nina, as you can see, it has exceeded that; average annual snowfall (1971-2000) is 22.5 inches, so that has also been exceeded - and the newer 1981-2010 average is like 15 inches)
I thought this storm was going to be bust to,but my hopes are lifting now!!!:)
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119. Jedkins01
26. јануар 2011, 22:51 GMT
Member Since: 21.08.08 Posts: 0 Comments: 7836
118. Jedkins01
26. јануар 2011, 22:50 GMT
Tornado touch downs has increased up to 5.

Locally here in Pinellas the NWS did a survey and rated the micro burst just to my south in St. Petersburg at 90 mph! We actually saw a micro burst that strong a in August 2009, I had my folks all run into the closet because it had the roar of a tornado as it came in.
Member Since: 21.08.08 Posts: 0 Comments: 7836
117. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
26. јануар 2011, 22:46 GMT
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth
Tropical Cyclone Advice #23
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE BIANCA (12U)
6:00 AM WST January 27 2011
=======================================

At 5:00 am WST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Bianca, Category Three (965 hPa) located at 19.5S 115.5E, or 305 km north northeast of Exmouth and 195 km northwest of Karratha has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 90 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
===================
25 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
================
40 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5/4.5/D1.5/24HRS

Severe Tropical Cyclone Bianca continues to develop as it moves to the west and parallel to the Pilbara coast. The cyclone is expected to continue intensifying during Thursday, but staying within the category three range.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are possible for a period between Roebourne and Onslow, extending to Exmouth during this morning.

If the cyclone moves closer to the coast, DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 160 kilometres per hour are possible between Mardie and Exmouth during Thursday morning and VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 200 kilometres per hour may be experienced between Onslow and Exmouth during Thursday.

Heavy rain is expected in coastal parts between Whim Creek and Onslow, extending to Exmouth during Thursday morning. Localised stream rises are likely but widespread flooding is not expected. Strong, squally winds and heavy rain are still possible between Wallal and Whim Creek.

If the cyclone moves closer to the coast, residents of Pilbara coastal communities west of Mardie including Onslow and Exmouth are warned of the potential for a DANGEROUS STORM TIDE. Tides may rise significantly above the normal high tide mark with DAMAGING WAVES and DANGEROUS COASTAL FLOODING.

Tropical Cyclone Warnings/Watch
================================
Cyclone WARNING is now current for coastal and island communities from Roebourne to Coral Bay.

The Cyclone WARNING from Whim Creek to Roebourne has been cancelled.
Member Since: 24.05.06 Posts: 51 Comments: 46274

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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