Potentially historic winter storm poised to impact 100 million Americans

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 31. јануар 2011, 15:16 GMT

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A huge and potentially historic winter storm is taking shape over the Southern Plains today. By the time the storm exits New England on Wednesday night, as many as 50 million Americans may see heavy snows of at least 6 inches or dangerous ice accumulations of 1/4" or more from the massive storm, and 100 million will be affected by the storm. A potent jet stream with strong winds will dive southwards over the central U.S. today, allowing a cold Arctic airmass to spill southwards out of Canada. In front of this cold air, a flow of very warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico will surge northwards, providing copious moisture to fuel snowfall amounts that will likely approach two feet across portions of Iowa and Illinois on Tuesday. The storm could be Chicago's biggest blizzard since January 1999, when a storm dumped 21.6" of snow. Accompanying the heavy snow on Tuesday will be strong winds gusting to 40 mph in Northern Illinois and Northwest Indiana, and a blizzard watch is posted for Chicago. Strong winds in Chicago are expected to generate 14 - 18 feet waves on Lake Michigan, with occasional waves up to 25 feet. A significant coastal flooding event is possible for Chicago, with beach erosion and flooding along Lake Shore Drive. Many major cities will likely receive over 8 inches of snow from the storm, including Kansas City, St. Louis, and Detroit. Perhaps of greater concern is the potential for a major ice storm along a swath from Northwest Oklahoma to Massachusetts. Widespread freezing rain is expected to bring over 1/4" of ice to many major cities, including St. Louis, Indianapolis, Columbus, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh. Some regions could see up to an inch of ice, and widespread power outages due to toppled power lines are likely for millions of people. Damages exceeding $1 billions are possible from this ice storm. In addition, the storm's powerful cold front will bring the potential for severe thunderstorms to the deep South. The NOAA Storm Prediction Center is giving Louisiana and surrounding states a "slight risk" of severe weather on Tuesday, and severe thunderstorms with damaging winds are likely Tuesday afternoon in this region.


Figure 1. Probability of receiving at least 1/4" of ice for the 24 hours ending at 7am EST on Wed Feb 2, 2011. Image credit: NOAA.

Very dangerous Tropical Cyclone Yasi headed for Australia's flooded Queensland
With February nearly upon us, the traditional peak of the Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season is here, and the waters surrounding Australia have been exceptionally active over the past week. We had the year's first two Category 4 tropical cyclones last week, Tropical Cyclone Wilma and Tropical Cyclone Bianca. Wilma passed over American Samoa as a strong tropical storm, and hit Tonga as a Category 3 storm, causing substantial damage to the islands, but no deaths or injuries. Wilma brushed New Zealand, bringing flooding and landslides to the North Island, and was the strongest tropical cyclone to affect that country in fourteen years, according to weatherwatch.co.nz. Tropical Cyclone Bianca skirted the west coast of Australia and dissipated before making landfall. Tropical Cyclone Anthony hit flood-ravaged Queensland, Australia, over the weekend, as a weak tropical storm with 40 - 50 mph winds. Fortunately, Anthony dropped only modest amounts of rain, and no new flooding disaster occurred in Queensland, which is struggling to recover from record floods. As reported in the latest Australian Bureau of Meteorology climate statement and flood summary, the past four months (September - December) have been the rainiest such period in Queensland's history, and the resulting flooding disaster has been Australia's most expensive natural disaster in history.

Queensland is in serious danger of renewed extreme flooding this week from Tropical Cyclone Yasi. Yasi has intensified to a Category 2 storm with 105 mph winds, and is undergoing a period of rapid intensification that is expected to take it to Category 4 strength. Yasi is expected to hit Queensland on Wednesday, probably as a major Category 3 or stronger storm. In addition the storm's damaging winds and storm surge, Yasi will bring torrential rains. The GFS model is predicting that Yasi will dump 5 - 10 inches of rain over a large swath of Queensland, which would likely cause destructive flooding.

One positive note: the European Center model was remarkably accurate predicting the formation of Yasi over a week in advance, so Queensland has had plenty of time to prepare for the arrival of the storm.


Figure 3. Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 23:20 GMT on January 30, 2011. At the time, Yasi was a Category 1 storm with 75 mph winds. Image credit: NASA.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting hurricanejunky:
I put some data on TC Yasi on the front page. Please feel free to contribute more info so I can add it. This is shaping up to be a horrible and historic storm for the region. Our thoughts and prayers are with you Australia! Hey Aussie, where are you in relation to projected Yasi landfall?

Hey, i am well over 1000miles away from Cairns
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572. IKE
NEW BLOG!
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yasi is a fast mover
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I put some data on TC Yasi on the front page. Please feel free to contribute more info so I can add it. This is shaping up to be a horrible and historic storm for the region. Our thoughts and prayers are with you Australia! Hey Aussie, where are you in relation to projected Yasi landfall?
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02/02/2011
12:30am
Temp: 28.2c
Air temp: 21.5c
Dew point: 23.6c
Humidity: 76%
Wind Direction: SSE
10min speed: 65km (35kts)
Gusts 80km: (43kts)
Pressure: 998.9hPa
Rainfall: 9.0mm
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Current Mesoscale Discussions
Updated: Tue Feb 1 14:00:03 UTC 2011



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0065
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0646 AM CST TUE FEB 01 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR E TX...NRN/CNTRL LA...WCNTRL MS...SRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 011246Z - 011445Z

STRONG PV-ANOMALY WAS MOVING INTO E TX/SRN OK AT DAYBREAK. INTENSE
LARGE-SCALE AND MESOSCALE FORCING ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT HAS
RESULTED IN AN INTENSIFYING SQUALL LINE OVER FAR E TX. 12Z SHV
SOUNDING SUGGESTS THAT STORMS ARE LIKELY SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WITH
ABOUT AN 800 METER STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER. HOWEVER...RECENT
STRENGTHENING OF STORMS AND MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE LINE MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO ALLOW DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS TO ACCOMPANY THE STORMS. MEANWHILE...E OF THE LINE...E-W
ORIENTED WARM ADVECTION DERIVED BANDS OF STORMS WERE
DEVELOPING...PRIMARILY OVER SRN AR AND NRN LA. MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WERE SUFFICIENT FOR HAIL
PRODUCTION WITH THESE STORMS.

IF STORMS CONTINUE TO THRIVE/INTENSIFY...PARTICULARLY THE SQUALL
LINE...A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

..RACY.. 02/01/2011


ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 33929394 34419223 33739023 32369016 31299090 30669231
30529269 30879448 31909411 33929394
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Quoting oddspeed:

This is one of the fastest temperature drops i have ever witnessed first hand.... 30 degrees drop in about 30 minutes.

the temp here between sunday 33C(91.4F) and monday 24C (75.2F) or 9C(48.2F)

I see Yasi on radar. Yasi will move right over this radar site, just hope it stays online.
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Meanwhile, Yasi:

Click for large animated image:

Appropriate tropical weather-related image.
Member Since: 08.11.09 Posts: 4 Comments: 13603
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
well iam as ready as iam gonna be
6 salt boxes are full
3 snowblowers primed and ready to go
2 plow pickup trucks fueled and waiting
i do a half a day then sleep till late this evening
to pull an all nighter on snow removal duty

now we wait



Morning folks.

Good luck, Keep.
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Quoting oddspeed:

This is one of the fastest temperature drops i have ever witnessed first hand.... 30 degrees drop in about 30 minutes.
The fastest drop witnessed for me as well.
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I have no idea about next week, I've been so in tuned about this event, haven't even looked at models for next week, and Pat the BP refinery in TX City is for sale, so lots of breaking news in my region
Member Since: 14.07.08 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
Quoting EmmyRose:
I can only use this computer for a minute
I am in DALLAS working PRE SHOW Super Bowl
This is a very dangerous situation.
Winds are gusting to 50 mph
We've had SLEET and now SNOW
Driving is treacherous
Lots of accidents
Even their salt trucks have turned over
Dallas is trying to be prepared but this
is really bad
Airport is closed
Schools are closed
Power outages
But dang the super bowl shows go on
Be Safe To All Who Are in this area
Gotta go


EMMY I LOVE YOU!!!!!
Member Since: 13.08.05 Posts: 171 Comments: 26259
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I stood outside at work in TX City and it was muggy, damp and humid with strong southerly winds, then you could see the black skies as they came in and heard the wind off in the distance beginning to roar and then wham it hits you quick and all that foggy/humid air is gone and a sharp coolness hits
Member Since: 14.07.08 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
Its Winter.

It gets cold ,and come Thurs Friday a Gulf Low is going to Tozz some Moisture over a Large area along the GOM Coast and inland.

Stay Tuned..

Itsa gonna get dicey for a lotta folk.
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556. IKE

Quoting RitaEvac:
Ike that would be a blizzard for gulf coast residents if those kind of amounts happened
And then another arctic front the early to middle portion of next week.
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Ike that would be a blizzard for gulf coast residents if those kind of amounts happened
Member Since: 14.07.08 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
Quoting BenInHouTX:
It was 70 degrees here inside the 610 loop of Houston when I left for work around 5:45 this morning. It is now 41 degrees with a wind chill around 31. TWC hourly forecast doesn't have it drop below 50 until after 11am! haha

This is one of the fastest temperature drops i have ever witnessed first hand.... 30 degrees drop in about 30 minutes.
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553. IKE

Quoting RitaEvac:
Arctic front way ahead of schedule,

1-3 inches is the conservitive side, the high end is 6-8 inches but they wont go there yet!
That would be incredible.
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Arctic front way ahead of schedule,

1-3 inches is the conservitive side, the high end is 6-8 inches but they wont go there yet!
Member Since: 14.07.08 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
FOXdfw.com
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Quoting RitaEvac:
Major winter weather event for coastal TX Friday
Yeah. Eric Berger of the Chronicle pointed out that the NWS forecast is calling for some areas south of I-10 to get 1 to 3 inches of snow Friday morning.
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549. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)


another possible cyclone?
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548. IKE

Quoting BenInHouTX:
It was 70 degrees here inside the 610 loop of Houston when I left for work around 5:45 this morning. It is now 41 degrees with a wind chill around 31. TWC hourly forecast doesn't have it drop below 50 until after 11am! haha
LOL....wrong!
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well iam as ready as iam gonna be
6 salt boxes are full
3 snowblowers primed and ready to go
2 plow pickup trucks fueled and waiting
i do a half a day then sleep till late this evening
to pull an all nighter on snow removal duty

now we wait
Member Since: 15.07.06 Posts: 175 Comments: 54847
Ft. Worth Webcam,,wx nation
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Major winter weather event for coastal TX Friday
Member Since: 14.07.08 Posts: 1 Comments: 9648
Quoting cat5hurricane:

Thanks for the update. Go Packers!


GO SALT TRUCKS!
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Quoting IKE:

I see a TVS on the Houston radar. It is an incredible system. Snow amounts forecast in SL,MO. and Chicago are unbelievable.
It was 70 degrees here inside the 610 loop of Houston when I left for work around 5:45 this morning. It is now 41 degrees with a wind chill around 31. TWC hourly forecast doesn't have it drop below 50 until after 11am! haha
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Quoting EmmyRose:
I can only use this computer for a minute
I am in DALLAS working PRE SHOW Super Bowl
This is a very dangerous situation.
Winds are gusting to 50 mph
We've had SLEET and now SNOW
Driving is treacherous
Lots of accidents
Even their salt trucks have turned over
Dallas is trying to be prepared but this
is really bad
Airport is closed
Schools are closed
Power outages
But dang the super bowl shows go on
Be Safe To All Who Are in this area
Gotta go

Thanks for the update. Go Packers!
Member Since: 17.08.10 Posts: 21 Comments: 6939
541. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone Advice #9
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE YASI (14U)
11:00 PM EST February 1 2011
=========================================

At 10:00 PM EST, Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category Four (940 hPa) located 15.0S 153.1E, or 810 km east northeast of Cairns and 820 km northeast of Townsville has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 18 knots.

Hurricane Force Winds
======================
40 NM from the center

Storm Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center in southern quadrant
60 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant
90 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant

Gale Force Winds
===============
250 NM from the center in southern quadrant
160 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS

YASI IS LARGE AND POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES A SERIOUS THREAT TO NORTH QUEENSLAND COMMUNITIES

The Cyclone will continue to intensify and move in a west-southwesterly direction overnight and during Wednesday.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are expected to develop on coastal islands during Wednesday morning, then extend onto the coast during the day, and further inland across the northern tropical interior overnight.

Between Cooktown and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in excess of 125km/hr on Wednesday afternoon and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts above 200 km/hr between Port Douglas and Cardwell during the evening as the cyclone approaches. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will extend onto the coastal ranges including the Atherton Tablelands on Wednesday evening.

As the centre approaches and crosses the coast SEA LEVELS between Cairns and Townsville will rise significantly above the normal tide with DAMAGING WAVES, STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low lying areas in coastal parts.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during Wednesday afternoon and then extend inland overnight.

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
==================================
A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Cape Melville to Sarina, extending inland to east of Croydon to Hughenden.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Lockhart River to Cape Melville, and in the tropical interior north of Winton to Sarina.

Forecast and Intensity
=====================
12 HRS: 16.1S 149.6E - 105 knots (CAT 4)
24 HRS: 17.1S 146.0E - 105 knots (CAT 4)
48 HRS: 19.6S 140.0E - 30 knots (TROPICAL LOW)
72 HRS: 21.5S 135.4E - 25 knots (TROPICAL LOW)

Additional Information
=======================

Yasi has intensified in the last 6 hours. The environment of low shear and good upper level outflow, assisted by an upper low to the south, is conducive to maintaining current intensity. There is the possibility of some further intensification before landfall.

Dvorak intensity based on eye pattern [EIR B surround, OW eye] giving DT=6.0, consistent with adjusted MET. Mean winds estimated at 100 knots.

Forecast motion is steady to the west southwest with a persisting mid-level ridge to the south. Models are quite consistent with the forecast motion.

The combined factors of being intense, large, and motion at 18 knots are conducive for greater wave/swell generation to the south of of the forecast track.

With the expectation of being a large and intense system, cyclone intensity may be maintained further inland than normal.

The next tropical cyclone advice on Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi will be issued at 15:00 PM UTC..
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Complete Update






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Quoting aquak9:
hi nea, hi aussie

But Aussie...there aren't really a lotta highways...are they encouraged to head south or west?

they are just saying get out any way you can.

Cairns airport to close Wednesday morning
The Cairns airport is shutting down all services tomorrow morning at 10 am, in preparation for Tropical Cyclone Yasi.

At 10am all operations at Cairns Airport will cease until further notice.

Both terminals will be off-limits to the public.
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I can only use this computer for a minute
I am in DALLAS working PRE SHOW Super Bowl
This is a very dangerous situation.
Winds are gusting to 50 mph
We've had SLEET and now SNOW
Driving is treacherous
Lots of accidents
Even their salt trucks have turned over
Dallas is trying to be prepared but this
is really bad
Airport is closed
Schools are closed
Power outages
But dang the super bowl shows go on
Be Safe To All Who Are in this area
Gotta go
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
hi nea, hi aussie

But Aussie...there aren't really a lotta highways...are they encouraged to head south or west?
Member Since: 13.08.05 Posts: 171 Comments: 26259
TC Yasi Floater - Rainbow Color Infrared Loop
\
TFP's are available
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Quoting rossclick:
I now live in SFL, but this is what my parents can expect over the next few days back in Indiana
Aren't we glad to be living in this beautiful, warm State? I feel sorry for all the folks going through this winter storm. Stay safe everyone!
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30,000 ordered to evacuate as Cairns prepares for Cyclone Yasi

THOUSANDS of people have been ordered to evacuate their homes in Machans Beach, Holloways Beach, Yorkeys Knob, Port Douglas, Bramston Beach and the CBD.


Residents must be out of their homes by 8am tomorrow and are advised to find shelter with friends or family.

As a last resort for people without alternative accommodation temporary evacuation centres are being set up.

These centres are located at Babinda RSL, James Cook University, Trinity Beach State School, Redlynch State College, Mossman Community Indoor Sports Centre, Woree High and Earlville Shopping Centre.

Smithfield State High will no longer offer temporary accommodation for evacuees. Trinity Beach State has been added in its place, along with Earlville Shopping Centre.

Premier Anna Bligh said severe cyclone Yasi – which intensified from a tropical low to a category 3 system and is predicted to rise to at least a category 4 or 5 – posed a “very serious threat.
Severe tropical cyclone Yasi is on track for a direct hit on Cairns, forecasters say.

But with the cyclone not expected to make landfall until about 1am (AEST) on Thursday, that could still change.

Bureau of Meteorology senior forecaster Ann Farrell said the latest modelling showed a direct hit on Cairns was one of the more likely scenarios.

The latest tracking map, issued at 5pm (AEST), marks out the range of possible landfall sites, from as far north as Cooktown to as far south as Townsville.

It features a central track which Ms Farrell said was ""One of the more likely tracks" - a line taking Yasi directly into Cairns.

The grey zone around that central track shows the spread of possible tracks it could take," she explains.
"The further you get away (from that central track) the less likely the possibility.``

At about 5pm (AEST), Yasi was a category four storm situated about 1020km east, northeast of Cairns moving westward at about 34km/h.

"It's continuing to intensify,`` Ms Farrell said.

She said Yasi was still expected to be a category four, with winds gusts of 250km/h or greater, when it made landfall but a category five could not be ruled out.

"It is possible it could reach category five intensity and that would push winds up to around the 300km/h mark.``

Ms Farrell said there were too many variables at play yet to say how big the storm surge would be, including the level of the tide, and the shape of the coastline.

But if the cyclone came in around Cairns it would be some hours after the high tide there at 9pm (AEST) on Wednesday night.

"The area that tends to get the peak of that surge is to the south of the landfall site," she said.

"That's where the winds are pushing in towards the coast."

She said the bureau was updating its advice every three hours, and as time ticked away forecasters should get a much more precise handle on what Yasi was likely to do.

She urged people looking at the bureau`s maps not to look simply at the eye of the cyclone, but at the broader rings which showed the spread of gale force winds.

"From tomorrow morning those winds will be experienced initially on the outer islands ... And progressively throughout the day, as it approaches, then various parts of the coast will start to feel that impact during the day tomorrow."
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Quoting aquak9:
don't know whether to be more amazed at Yasi, or the snow/ice.

I think Yasi wins, but not by much.

I'd agree. The U.S. storm will likely be a major inconvenience for millions--but Yasi has the potential to be a true killer.
Member Since: 08.11.09 Posts: 4 Comments: 13603
don't know whether to be more amazed at Yasi, or the snow/ice.

I think Yasi wins, but not by much.
Member Since: 13.08.05 Posts: 171 Comments: 26259
CNN is announcing that icing caused by winter storm has forced closure of Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport.
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530. IKE

Quoting oddspeed:


was watching the local weather about 6:20 am this morning and the bush airport was at 68 °F while Tomball just 15 miles to the northwest was reading 38 °F
the respective wind chills were 70 °F and 33 °F

it's such an amazing windy storm.
I see a TVS on the Houston radar. It is an incredible system. Snow amounts forecast in SL,MO. and Chicago are unbelievable.
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Had to edit, image stretched the blog. Don't know why.
My post is missing the plus, -, !, and Hide buttons.
Deleting the radar image doesn't seem to work either.
Very strange.
Will try closing browser and come back later.
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Quoting IKE:
Cold front has gone through Houston,TX. now. Temps are in the 40's in H-town....




was watching the local weather about 6:20 am this morning and the bush airport was at 68 °F while Tomball just 15 miles to the northwest was reading 38 °F
the respective wind chills were 70 °F and 33 °F

it's such an amazing windy storm.
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TC Yasi

Rainbow Image




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Australian Government - Bureau of Meteorology Home | About Us | Contacts | Careers | Help | Feedback |
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Global | Australia | NSW | Vic. | Qld | WA | SA | Tas. | ACT | NT | Ant. |
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See Weather Words or the Glossary to find out what the weather terms mean.

Check the latest weather warnings.

IDQP0005
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.

TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:59pm EST on Tuesday the 1st of February 2011

A Cyclone WARNING is current for coastal areas from Cape Melville to Sarina,
extending inland to east of Croydon to Hughenden.

A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Lockhart River to Cape
Melville, and in the tropical interior north of Winton to Sarina.

At 10:00 pm EST Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, Category 4 was estimated to be
810 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 820 kilometres northeast of
Townsville moving west southwest at 30 kilometres per hour.

YASI IS LARGE AND POWERFUL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND POSES A SERIOUS THREAT TO NORTH
QUEENSLAND COMMUNITIES

The Cyclone will continue to intensify and move in a west-southwesterly
direction overnight and during Wednesday.

DAMAGING WINDS with gusts to 90 km/hr are expected to develop on coastal islands
during Wednesday morning, then extend onto the coast during the day, and further
inland across the northern tropical interior overnight.

Between Cooktown and Ingham these winds will become DESTRUCTIVE with gusts in
excess of 125km/hr on Wednesday afternoon and VERY DESTRUCTIVE with gusts above
200 km/hr between Port Douglas and Cardwell during the evening as the cyclone
approaches. These VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds will extend onto the coastal ranges
including the Atherton Tablelands on Wednesday evening.

As the centre approaches and crosses the coast SEA LEVELS between Cairns and
Townsville will rise significantly above the normal tide with DAMAGING WAVES,
STRONG CURRENTS and FLOODING of low lying areas in coastal parts.

FLOODING RAINS will develop from Cooktown to Sarina during Wednesday afternoon
and then extend inland overnight.

People between Cape Melville and Sarina, extending inland to east of Croydon to
Hughenden should immediately commence or continue preparations, especially
securing boats and property.
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

People between Lockhart River and Cape Melville, and in the tropical interior
north of Winton to Sarina should consider what action they will need to take if
the cyclone threat increases.
- Information is available from your local government
- For cyclone preparedness and safety advice, visit Queensland's Disaster
Management Services website [www.disaster.qld.gov.au]
- For emergency assistance call the Queensland State Emergency Service [SES] on
132 500 [for assistance with storm damage, rising flood water, fallen trees on
buildings or roof damage].

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi at 10:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 15.0 degrees South 153.1 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 35 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west southwest at 30 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 260 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 4
.Central pressure......... 940 hectoPascals


Please ensure that neighbours have heard and understood this message,
particularly new arrivals or those who may not fully understand English.

The next advice will be issued by 2:00 am EST Wednesday 02 February.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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My school still has no snow days.

Gonna be stuck in there guys, it'll be fun!
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524. IKE
Cold front has gone through Houston,TX. now. Temps are in the 40's in H-town....


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Evening all...
Still baking hot here in Sydney. Currently @ 00:30 02/02/2011 33.5C with 26% Humidity.
The wind is starting to pick up at Willis Island. Highest wind reading so far are 41kts gusting to 47kts. I'm guessing that was from the 1st squall line that past at 21:52. Current 10mins wind is 35kts gusting to 47kts with 1001.3hPa
The next squall line will pass within the next hour, and wouldn't be surprised if its stronger.
Here is a time line that updates by Local news paper.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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